Ethan Mollick says agentic AI work began in January 2026

1. 3:16 PM
   Ethan Mollick@emollickX

   Mollick says agentic work began in January 2026 for GPT-4 successors

   AIEthan Mollick says GPT-4 could complete about 4 minutes of independent work with a 50% success rate, while current models handle multiple weeks of work. He puts January 2026 as the reasonable cutoff for when agentic work started, and says earlier large productivity effects were mostly confined to coding.

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