why would this not be >95%? alphafold made a nobel prize winning discovery in 2018. openai made several fields medal level discoveries just this year
Roon asks why AI discovery odds are not above 95%
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roon asks why the odds of AI making major scientific discoveries would not exceed 95%, citing AlphaFold's 2018 Nobel-winning work and OpenAI's Fields Medal-level results this year. The post links this to a survey in which 58% of Anthropic staff expect Claude to make a Nobel Prize-level discovery by 2027.
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SITUATION DETECTED: 58% of Anthropic staff expect Claude to be able to make a Nobel prize level scientific discovery by 2027.View quoted post on X
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