Will Depue offers $100k bet against weight-space editing hype
Overview
Will Depue, posting on X on November 10, 2026, offers a $100k bet that weight-space results are overhyped.
He is responding to Shiv Kampani, who predicted that within six months no one would post-train LLMs under 100B parameters and everyone would use weight-space editing instead. The report does not state the terms of the bet or whether Kampani accepted it.
Written by AI from the articles below · updated Nov 10, 11:56 PM ET
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will depue@willdepueXWill Depue bets $100k that weight-space results are overblownAIWill Depue offers a $100k bet against the claim that weight-space results are overhyped. The post responds to Shiv Kampani's prediction that within six months nobody will post-train sub-100B-parameter LLMs and everyone will use weight-space editing instead.
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