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Tunguz says powered GPU access, not chips, will cap AI growth in 2027

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Tomasz Tunguz says access to powered GPUs will limit AI growth in 2027, as GPU-hour rental rates rise from $3 to $12-13 while supply lags demand.

He cites Brad Gerstner's estimate that 10 to 15 of the 43 gigawatts expected to come online in 2027 may not be energized. Tunguz puts the theoretical revenue ceiling near $500 billion and says about 40% of current GPU hours go to inference.

Written by AI from the articles below · updated Nov 4, 4:49 PM ET

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Nov 3
  1. Tomasz TunguzBlog
    Tunguz says 2027 AI growth is capped by access to powered GPUs

    AITomasz Tunguz says AI's 2027 constraint will be access to powered GPUs, with GPU-hour rental rates rising from $3 to $12-13 as supply still fails to keep up with demand. He cites Brad Gerstner's estimate that 10 to 15 of the 43 gigawatts expected to come online in 2027 may not be energized. Tunguz puts the theoretical revenue ceiling near $500b, with about 40% of current GPU hours used for inference.

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