3. We believe there is a chance that capabilities progress could lead to even faster acceleration in the next 12 months, since we did not observe clear bottlenecks or strong diminishing returns. However, given our limited vantage point, we may have missed bottlenecking factors.
METR says AI progress may accelerate over the next 12 months
AIMETR says it believes capabilities progress could accelerate faster in the next 12 months because it has not observed clear bottlenecks or strong diminishing returns. The organization adds that its limited vantage point means it may have missed factors that could slow progress.
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Original title: 3. We believe there is a chance that capabilities progress could lead to even faster acceleration in the next 12 months, since we did not...