AI Futures Project proposes four options for pacing the US AI frontier

The AI Futures Project proposes four options for domestically pacing frontier AI development to reduce existential risk, ordered from simplest to hardest to execute.

The options include a temporary pause, minimum external-inference and transparent-safety compute allocations, a cap on the capability level of models used for AI R&D, and third-party safety-case risk assessments with a monthly risk threshold.

The authors suggest starting with a 5-20% safety compute pilot and preparing verification tools in advance.