4. We did not see convincing evidence of significant bottlenecks that would take effect within the next 12 months in algorithmic progress, training compute, experiment compute, or data. However, our view changed throughout the assessment, so we may be missing some bottlenecks.
METR sees no convincing 12-month bottlenecks in AI progress, but may be missing some
AIMETR says it did not see convincing evidence of significant bottlenecks within the next 12 months in algorithmic progress, training compute, experiment compute, or data. The organization says its view changed during the assessment, so it may be missing some bottlenecks.
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Original title: 4. We did not see convincing evidence of significant bottlenecks that would take effect within the next 12 months in algorithmic progress...