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Nathan Lambert posts a reminder for January 1, 2028

AINathan Lambert's post reads "Remind me, January 1st, 2028," with no further detail. The quoted post from @DKokotajlo says the intelligence explosion will happen in 2027, five months ahead of the AI 2027 scenario, citing a new METR report.
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Remind me, January 1st, 2028

Daniel Kokotajlo@DKokotajlo
Unfortunately, it seems like the intelligence explosion will be happening in 2027 after all. Most of this post analyzes the new METR report (though other sources of evidence are also important). If they’re right, that implies an AI-driven acceleration that is 5 months ahead of the AI 2027 scenario. I am scared, sad, and angry. https://blog.aifutures.org/p/q35-timelines-update-looks-like-the
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Original title: Remind me, January 1st, 2028