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Morgan Stanley rates Nvidia top risk/reward despite 91.7% infrastructure exposure

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Morgan Stanley rates Nvidia the best risk/reward in AI, though it says 91.7% of Nvidia's 2027 revenue is exposed to infrastructure demand.

The bank expects hyperscalers and AI cloud providers to spend $1.58 trillion in 2027, up roughly 60%, with nearly $700 billion reaching Nvidia. It models SpaceX and Amazon Web Services at about 54% of Nvidia's 2027 hyperscaler revenue and 72% of its growth.

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Morgan Stanley rates Nvidia AI’s best risk/reward, though 91.7% of its 2027 revenue is exposed to infrastructure demand.

MS research expects hyperscalers and AI cloud providers to spend $1.58T in 2027, up roughly 60%, with nearly $700B reaching Nvidia.

That haul leans on 2 buyers, with SpaceX and Amazon Web Services modeled at about 54% of Nvidia’s 2027 hyperscaler revenue and 72% of growth.

Morgan Stanley still calls the stock cheap at 15 times fiscal 2028 earnings, arguing analysts underestimated 4 past compute cycles by 38% on average.

Its own power model, though, projects US data centers falling 32GW short of the 97GW they need through 2028.

Source: Rohan Paul · x.comPublished · added here