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Frontier AI labs underestimated their own demand, SemiAnalysis says

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SemiAnalysis says even frontier AI labs did not expect their models to become this profitable, serve this many users, or grow this fast. The labs signed large GPU contracts at high premiums to secure capacity for near-term user demand. SemiAnalysis describes the trend as a revenue and profitability takeoff rather than an AI fast takeoff.

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Even the frontier labs underestimated their own demand.

“What gets confusing to me is how nobody forecast this.”

“Even the frontier labs, who really understand how these models work, did not expect to be this profitable, to serve this many users and to grow this fast.”

“They had to do crazy things and sign big contracts at very high premiums just to get access to GPUs tomorrow to serve their users.”

“I don’t view this as an AI fast takeoff. It seems to be a revenue and profitability fast takeoff for a lot of these labs.”

Source: SemiAnalysis · x.comPublished · added here