We may be underestimating acceleration if we underweighted (1) evidence that some growth rates have recently increased; (2) early signs of fully autonomous contributions; (3) evidence that AECI has sometimes understated real-world impact.
METR says it may be underestimating AI acceleration
AIif it underweighted three signals: recent increases in some growth rates, early signs of fully autonomous contributions, and cases where AECI understated real-world impact.
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METR · x.comPublished · added here
Original title: We may be underestimating acceleration if we underweighted (1) evidence that some growth rates have recently increased; (2) early signs o...