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Epoch AI updates its Capabilities Index to use a Bayesian model

AIEpoch AI says it has updated the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI), which tracks AI model capability using benchmark results, to a Bayesian methodology. The change is meant to provide better-justified uncertainty estimates and to calculate how likely one model is to be more capable than another.
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Epoch AI · Emilia Álvarez · epoch.aiPublished · added here

Original title: Updating the Epoch Capabilities Index methodology to use a Bayesian model