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China's draft AI export controls: what the proposed MOFCOM rules restrict

AIChina's Ministry of Commerce and Ministry of Science and Technology have proposed adding AI technologies to the export-controlled catalogue in Announcement 48 of 2026. The draft covers frontier models above 10^26 FLOPs, 2 trillion parameters, or global top-10 capability, along with chip design, memory, clusters, agents, detectors, and cyber tools.

AIWhy it matters.

The piece walks through each proposed control and its thresholds, showing how the draft could shape open-weight releases, chip IP, and overseas data centers.

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ChinaTalk · Quinn Ennis · chinatalk.mediaPublished · added here

Original title: MOFCOM's New Rules and the Future of Chinese AI