METR report suggests Anthropic AI R&D is nearly doubling progress, with key evidence redacted
AIZvi Mowshowitz summarizes a METR report estimating that Anthropic's capability progress since October 2025 runs at about 1.9x the prior rate, with roughly 80% attributed to AI doing R&D. He notes that most of the evidence behind those conclusions was redacted, so readers must largely trust METR's judgment. The post collects reactions from researchers, including Ajeya Cotra, Ryan Greenblatt, and Anthropic cofounder Sam McCandlish, and argues the redactions limit public verification.
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Don't Worry About the Vase (Zvi Mowshowitz) · Zvi Mowshowitz · thezvi.substack.comPublished · added here
Original title: AI R&D Is Accelerating Towards Potential RSI in 2027