#Expert opinion

AIJan Leike, who the account identifies as an Anthropic researcher, says AI's benefits will be massive but will take many years to materialize. He argues for more patience with these developments so the associated risks can be reduced.

AIJan Leike, who works at Anthropic, says AI company leaders have pushed back against regulation, except Anthropic. He argues regulation serves their interest because accidents will trigger inevitable backlash that could be rushed, excessive, and stifle AI's benefits.

AIJan Leike, who works at Anthropic, points to a statement signed by 1,386 employees of frontier AI companies, including six chief scientists. The statement asks for an option to pace AI development.

AIAnthropic's Jan Leike argues that many effective safety and alignment interventions take substantial time and care to implement. He cites jailbreaking mitigations for Opus 4, which took over a year to develop and could not have been built once the model required them.

AIJan Leike says effective AI regulation is needed and calls the RAISE Act and California's SB 53 a good start. He argues they fail to keep pace with the speed of development, mainly requesting transparency and self-commitments. He says he has personally donated to political candidates from both parties who support such regulation.

AIAnthropic's Jan Leike argues that now is a good time to build institutional mechanisms to pace frontier AI development. He says the industry is locked in an all-out scaling race toward superintelligence, and more time may be needed for safety and alignment mitigations.

AIJohn Schulman argues that training on user data contributes little to frontier math gains, which come mainly from scaling pretraining and RLVR. He says user data is more likely used to find failure modes that hired annotators struggle to recreate. He calls for stronger norms on disclosing how companies train on user data, including the methods and capabilities targeted.

AINathan Lambert argues that a resignation post by AI researcher Jacob Coxon spread widely because public fear of AI extinction risk had been building. He says concrete risks such as cyber attacks and bio-risks deserve debate, while he assigns extinction risk a probability too low to discuss and expects recursive self-improvement to produce only lossy, jagged gains rather than a rapid takeoff.

AICohere CEO Aidan Gomez posted that "Encoders are back," signaling renewed interest in encoder architectures. The post was a short reaction to an image or discussion that scaling01 described as an "alien architecture," with no further technical details given.

AIThomas Dohmke says he will buy the new iPhone Duo but argues it cannot become his intelligent personal hub without an agent that can use the same apps he does. He claims, like the iPad, the hardware is held back by an operating system that treats software as operable only by humans. He concludes that agents using computers is the new paradigm.

AIFormer OpenAI and Anthropic employee Jacob Coxon resigned and posted a viral tweet, which has gathered over 700k likes and 140 million views, accusing AI companies of gambling with our lives. Coxon said people building AI earnestly believe it could kill us all by the end of the decade. The article argues that more insiders may leave, leaving the industry's remaining staff to accelerate development.

AIDeepSeek says it will work with the open-source community on inference support for DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash and explore more deployment options. The company is inviting organizations planning large-scale deployments with 2,000 GPUs and a storage cluster to get in touch. The model and a technical report are published on Hugging Face.

AIDwarkesh Patel says Paul Christiano has perhaps the best original track record in the world for predicting the timeline and nature of AI takeoff. The post links to a Christiano article as background, but the post itself gives no further specifics.

AIJohn Schulman says he was pleasantly surprised by a development involving Paul Christiano, whom he calls visionary and principled. He adds that he has admired Christiano's work for over a decade. The main post gives no further detail on the event itself.

AIAidan Gomez, owner of the Cohere account, says AI agents should help people spend more time on what they love and less on what they don't. He thanked Magnus Carlsen, SRNA_LI, and Jonas Niedermüller for collaborating on the work.

AIGoogle DeepMind's Peter Battaglia discusses how machine learning is changing global weather forecasting, including early warnings for storms such as Hurricane Melissa. The episode covers traditional physics-based models versus AI models and probabilistic forecasting, and highlights WeatherNext 3 as Google DeepMind's most advanced global weather AI model yet.

AIDwarkesh Patel argues that organizations started now could become default institutions society delegates AI oversight to, citing METR as an example and a possible FINRA-style AI body. He says the new organizations should be smart and technocratic, and that building credibility takes time, so initial conceptual work should start immediately. He also notes that AI-risk money from upcoming IPOs will make wealth abundant while rare, capable founders who can own key problems will be scarce.

AIFei-Fei Li argues R&D is splitting into token-abundant and token-starved research, with the token-abundant path, where AI assistance amplifies researchers, clearly ahead. She points to top AI industry teams and neolabs as evidence and urges research university presidents to read OpenAI's linked report on research acceleration.

AIOpenAI's GPT-6 Astra scores 99.9% on ARC-AGI-3, versus 7.8% for GPT-5.6 Sol, and leads Raschka's coding and math tests. Its strongest showing is in graphics and computer-use tasks, such as redrawing an image in a browser-based Paint app. The author notes that Artificial Analysis shows Astra at the frontier but not pulling far ahead on its Coding Agent Index.

AINathan Lambert argues that most people have few tangible AI benefits yet, because everyday touchpoints like family, food, transportation and entertainment are largely unchanged. He contrasts this with past industrial revolutions, which delivered physical household goods, and suggests AI's gains will compound over decades. He also warns that AI currently serves knowledge workers more than the broader public, risking political backlash.

AIJohn Schulman argues OpenAI and Anthropic should stop feuding and jointly develop an AI pacing proposal before involving the US government. He says antitrust concerns are overstated, since the law bars certain agreements but not joint development of a proposal. He warns that bringing in the government before a concrete proposal exists would likely produce something poor, citing the pre-release testing program as an example.

AIAmy, a 58-year-old with no coding background, built Wally, an AI voice aid app using Manus, for her brother Jamie after cancer surgery at Brigham and Women's Hospital left him unable to speak. The app combines one-tap urgent and everyday phrases with golf news, live tournament scores, and family messages, all placed on his phone's home screen.

AIJohn Schulman argues that training on user data carries very different privacy and IP risks depending on method. Pretraining on user tokens poses high regurgitation risk, while distillation from prompts and RL from user traces carry lower regurgitation risk but can still leak customer IP. He notes de-identification is weak because long traces can still identify users, and AI companies rarely disclose what they do.

AIMark Chen says no human or agent reviewed user data for the Navier-Stokes effort. He adds that OpenAI and other LLM companies do use user feedback and de-identified data to improve ChatGPT and Codex.

AINoam Brown, an OpenAI researcher, welcomed that some Anthropic employees are willing to speak publicly. The post links to a reply from Sholto Douglas, who argued it is extremely unlikely user data influenced the matter and that user data in Codex is likely safe.

AINoam Brown, an OpenAI researcher, says Levent has doubled down on a plagiarism accusation and expresses hope that his friends at Anthropic will confront the claim internally. He adds that the truth should be clear by now.

AIOpenAI says a group of agents using an unreleased next-generation model produced a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize Problem. The problem asks whether smooth three-dimensional fluid motion described by the Navier-Stokes equations can break down, and it has remained unresolved for roughly 90 years. The author, Mckay Wrigley, reposted the claim with his own remark about roughly 10k agents working in a datacenter.

Why it matters: The quoted OpenAI post makes a major mathematical claim about the Navier-Stokes problem, so readers should weigh it against the proof's verification status.

AIMagic says its new pretraining recipe matches DeepSeek V4 Pro's pretraining while using 50x less compute, roughly half the FLOPs used for GPT-3, or about $0.5M on GB200. The post, which congratulates the team, suggests that during recursive self-improvement, automated AI researchers may be less bottlenecked by compute than expected.

AIOpenAI says a group of agents using an unreleased next-generation model produced a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize Problem, a question about whether smooth 3D fluid motion can break down that has stayed open for about 90 years. Noam Brown says the result cost millions of dollars, but argues that Astra now scores higher on ARC-AGI for about $20, versus roughly $500,000 for o3 on ARC-AGI 1.

Why it matters: The post quotes OpenAI's claim about an AI-produced Navier-Stokes solution and adds cost comparisons that show how quickly test-time compute costs are falling.

AINoam Brown reposted an OpenAI statement that an internal model group reached a Navier–Stokes solution in 88 hours using about 10,000 coordinating AI agents. OpenAI said the model shows a step-function improvement on many benchmarks and that its training is ongoing, with monitoring and isolation safeguards applied throughout. The attached chart compares GPT-6 Astra and the internal model on a curated set of open math problems across test-time compute levels, with the internal model scoring higher at each point.

Why it matters: The quoted OpenAI post gives concrete figures on an internal model's Navier–Stokes result and on a benchmark comparison, showing how the model performs on open problems.

AIOpen model licenses are tightening at the Chinese frontier, with Zhipu's GLM-5.3 switching from MIT to a custom license requiring a security review for inference and fine-tuning providers with over $10 billion in annual revenue. Motif-3 ships under an MIT license with strong scores for its size, while Tencent's Hy4-preview is a competent model that currently overthinks. Western makers Google and Meta have moved to Apache 2.0.

AIGoogle DeepMind has released AlphaGenome Atlas, a web portal that predicts the regulatory effects of all 9 billion possible single-letter genetic changes in the human genome. The Atlas provides an AlphaGenome Variant Impact (AVI) score that combines coding and non-coding predictions to help researchers prioritize variants. The source says the portal requires no coding skills and is available to researchers and biologists worldwide.

Why it matters: The source details how the Atlas's AVI score is used in real rare disease and UK Biobank analyses, showing a practical route for prioritizing non-coding variants.

AIOpenAI researcher Noam Brown agreed that AI labs must learn to work together despite competition, given the higher stakes ahead. He was responding to Sholto Douglas, who lamented that a recent episode did not become an example of cross-lab coordination.

AINoam Brown, of OpenAI, wrote that his week-long collaboration with Sébastien Bubeck did not finish the way they wanted, though he is glad it worked out in part. He said he will say more tomorrow. Bubeck separately responded to circulating allegations, saying he joined the discussion following academic norms.