# Thariq says most people misjudge how AI intelligence will reach the economy

> Original title: basically everyone is bad at predicting how more intelligence will actually show up in the economy

- Source: Thariq
- Published: 2026-10-30T16:55:10.000Z
- Bad Influence: https://badinfluence.news/items/ta6nz3ngyfkjs3bjg4yqp6se3
- Original: https://x.com/trq212/status/2116212324696777073

## Summary

Thariq, who is listed as an Anthropic account, says most people are bad at predicting how more intelligence will show up in the economy. He argues that the simple view that AI will cost a lot and unemploy everyone is not very AGI-pilled and should be avoided because it could hyperstition that outcome into reality.

## Post

basically everyone is bad at predicting how more intelligence will actually show up in the economy

and the simplest answer of “it’ll cost a lot and unemploy everyone,” is actually not very AGI-pilled imo, we should avoid hyperstitioning it into reality