# METR says it may be underestimating AI acceleration

> Original title: We may be underestimating acceleration if we underweighted (1) evidence that some growth rates have recently increased; (2) early signs o...

- Source: METR
- Published: 2026-11-05T18:36:45.000Z
- Bad Influence: https://badinfluence.news/items/emu5ap0w75x7ztwja7hed4o3y
- Original: https://x.com/METR_Evals/status/2118412216500445397

## Summary

METR says it may be underestimating AI acceleration if it underweighted three signals: recent increases in some growth rates, early signs of fully autonomous contributions, and cases where AECI understated real-world impact.

## Post

We may be underestimating acceleration if we underweighted (1) evidence that some growth rates have recently increased; (2) early signs of fully autonomous contributions; (3) evidence that AECI has sometimes understated real-world impact.