# Roon says early "sparks" of AI ability signal superhuman performance within months to years

> Original title: when you see “sparks” of any ability in ai models that means you’re months-years from it being superhuman at it. today grade school math,...

- Source: roon
- Published: 2026-11-02T23:46:36.000Z
- Bad Influence: https://badinfluence.news/items/ainhl84bsixl2gvex3uxpy2ab
- Original: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2117403028101996799

## Summary

Roon (@tszzl) says that when AI models show "sparks" of an ability, superhuman performance in that area is months to years away. He cites grade school math today and Navier-Stokes tomorrow, and argues that these results are hard to overhype.

## Post

when you see “sparks” of any ability in ai models that means you’re months-years from it being superhuman at it. today grade school math, tomorrow navier stokes. it is hard to overhype these results. you are almost always underhyping no matter what