# Ethan Mollick asks Claude Fable and GPT-6 Astra when the Exponential Time Hypothesis will be solved

> Original title: This never gets old (& also shows how hard forecasting AI is even for AI)

- Source: Ethan Mollick
- Published: 2026-10-27T13:01:04.000Z
- Bad Influence: https://badinfluence.news/items/a686nrs3jmcuee8tve7vevuld
- Original: https://x.com/emollick/status/2115066250938192118

## Summary

Ethan Mollick says he asked Claude Fable and GPT-6 Astra, without lookup, when the Exponential Time Hypothesis will be solved, and shows partial answers to illustrate how hard AI forecasting is. The post itself gives no predicted dates or further details of the responses.

## Post

This never gets old (& also shows how hard forecasting AI is even for AI)

“Hey Claude Fable & GPT-6 Astra, Without looking anything up, when do you think we will solve the Exponential Time Hypothesis?” (I only show part of the answers for space)

![](https://badinfluence.news/api/img-proxy?u=https%3A%2F%2Fpbs.twimg.com%2Fmedia%2FHVo5iwNXYAEcBMJ.jpg&mode=thumb&exp=1793404800&sig=1e0ff1c38f0cd2d1)

![](https://badinfluence.news/api/img-proxy?u=https%3A%2F%2Fpbs.twimg.com%2Fmedia%2FHVo5iwTX0AA58hR.jpg&mode=thumb&exp=1793404800&sig=67ee1309be177725)

![](https://badinfluence.news/api/img-proxy?u=https%3A%2F%2Fpbs.twimg.com%2Fmedia%2FHVo5iwRXUAAJSdR.jpg&mode=thumb&exp=1793404800&sig=43548424d4aea461)

![](https://badinfluence.news/api/img-proxy?u=https%3A%2F%2Fpbs.twimg.com%2Fmedia%2FHVo5iwQXsAEuQRE.jpg&mode=thumb&exp=1793404800&sig=7916defab45dd26c)